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Clinton and Long-Term Consequences

A quick note to those conservatives who think that a O'Carter election will lead to another conservative Republican renaissance, and that we can easily weather whatever harm Baby Barry can do in four years.  Please recall the gas price shock of earlier this year (not truly gone yet), and recall that by the most pessimistic estimates we would have already been receiving oil from ANWAR for at least one year -- if President Bill Clinton had not vetoed it in 1997 (I think -- I'm within a year either way).  One decision by a President eleven years ago, and we are still paying for it every time we gas up our cars.
 
Less pain with McCain!
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Joe Biden, Expert (D)

I'm always amused by the media and the Democrats (should that be the Democrats and their media?) referring to Sen. Joe Biden as an expert on foreign policy.  Foreign policy is apparently truly foreign to Chia Joe, since he's virtually never right about it.
 
Joe Biden, in a nutcase, is the very definition of a Democrat expert -- any Democrat who has been wrong about a particular subject for many consecutive years.
Tags: Joe Biden  
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In a Perfect World...

My father told me last night that certain unspecified (by him) groups in Virginia have already filed suit in court, claiming that the Republicans are trying to suppress minority voting, and steal the election for McCain and the Republicans.  The polls hadn't even opened yet!
 
In a perfect world, the suits would be instantly dismissed -- with prejudice, so that the groups are not allowed to refile.  This would be just, because the suits cannot be factually based.
 
Nice thought, anyway.
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Joe the Plumber, Check Your Visa

If the worst happens, and Barak O'Carter gets elected President, we all will be more or less imperilled.  One person who may be on the "more" list is our man "Joe the Plumber".  I remember that when a man confronted new President Bill Clinton at a public appearance, demanding to know where his middle class tax cut was, that man was arrested the same night.
 
Joe, if Barack the American Mussolini becomes President, he'll have control of the Secret Service, the FBI, and the CIA.  I suggest you get your passport updated, and your travel plans made.
 
If you're moving, Joe, maybe you could go to one of the sclerotic Western European nations.  You can write and tell us what our future holds...
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Democrat Bait-and-Switch

The Democrat candidates in my area have been running a bit of deception.  They have been running ads attacking incumbent Republican Congressman Randy Kuhl, in which they say that Kuhl voted for George Bush's trade deals, and that NAFTA  has cost upstate New York 50,000 jobs.  A few points:
 
The 50,000 figure is highly debatable, to put it mildly.  NAFTA led to increased exports of goods produced in the USA, which does not necessarily mean fewer jobs.  Having the 2nd highest business taxes in the industrialized world -- that's the reason that American businesses "ship jobs overseas".  Which party favors raising taxes on businesses again?
 
NAFTA wasn't George Bush's trade deal.  It was Bill Clinton's trade deal.  It was implemented in 1994; Randy Kuhl wasn't in Congress yet.
 
They are particularly tricky in one ad, in which the narrator speaks the acronyms NAFTA and CAFTA (which is one of George Bush's trade deals), hoping the watcher (or listener at the fridge) won't distinguish them.  NAFTA and CAFTA never appear on the screen in the TV spot.
 
President Reagan used to say of arms negotiations with the Soviet Union, "trust but verify".  With the Democrats, "don't trust and verify every word" is a wiser course.
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Chris Matthews

Watching Chris Matthews's coverage of Barack Obama's campaign (or reading about it -- I can't watch Chris Matthews), do you ever get the idea that he has looked into the possibility of getting female reproductive organs installed, so that he can actually have Obama's baby?
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Stream of Consciousness Day

Today I will be spending the day catching up on badly-neglected computer work.  I will keep my blog-posting page open, for the moments when I think of anything that I think someone might enjoy reading (I could, of course, be wrong).  Here's a sample to start with:
 
Given Barack Obama's supreme arrogance and grandiosity, am I wrong to fear that if he wins the election tomorrow, he will have himself carried up Pennsylvania Avenue on Inauguration Day in a golden chariot drawn by 6 white stallions?
 
Back soon.
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My Letter to the Republican Congressional Campaign Committee

o whom it may concern:
 
I live in Hilton, NY, and I have repeatedly seen a campaign ad for Democratic candidate Dan Maffei, who is running for Congress.  (I don't know who his opponent is, which indicates one problem already.)  His energy policy campaign spot gives his opponent a priceless opportunity.  His proposals are illogical, and would drive energy prices up, not down. 
 
He suggests that we invest more money (tax dollars, presumably) in "alternate energy sources" such as wind and solar.  A counter ad should inquire as to whether Dan realizes that wind power only works when the wind is blowing, and does he also realize that solar doesn't work at night or when it's cloudy?
 
Dan also wants to eliminate "unfair" tax breaks to domestic oil companies.  A counter-spot should ask him how raising taxes on oil producers will bring our gas prices down.
 
Our candidate should ask Dan why developing our own plentiful domestic energy sources (oil, natural gas, and nuclear) aren't anywhere in his plan.  American sources, developed through the efforts of American workers, holding high-paying American jobs (the Heritage Foundation can give you the numbers to use in your ads).  Sounds good, doesn't it?
 
Doesn't Dan (and other Democrat candidates) realize that American oil exploration technology is the safest and most environment-friendly in the world?
 
Doesn't Dan realize that we need a real energy policy for the real world?
 
We need to be lifting our insane restrictions on our domestic energy industries, keeping our energy dollars in American pockets, and tying the Reid-Pelosi "drill nowhere, drill never", no new energy policy around the Democratic Congressional candidates necks every day!  We can't rely on enough voters to determine this for themselves; we have to tell them these facts.
 
This is our issue!  Hammer it home!  Every day!  We can still win in November, but we have to be intelligent now.
 
Don't let this opportunity slip.
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My Letter to Laura Ingraham on the Mortgage Mess

Dear Laura,

As a believer in Ronald Reagan's statement that the most frightening words in the English language are "I'm from the government, and I'm here to help you", I hate to hear any Senator say they're going to deal with any problem.  I haven't heard any of your callers say what I'm thinking, which is that Sen. McCain should be using this opportunity to denounce the excessive government meddling and regulation that caused this mess.  The only legislation he should be calling for is the repeal of the old legislation which forced financial institutions to make unsound loans.  Warren G. Harding had the right idea in 1921.  He dealt with the post-World War I recession by cutting federal spending ... and waiting.  The economy righted itself ON ITS OWN!

Get the government out of the mortgage business altogether!

 
 
(As an aside, if you haven't read Modern Times, by the renowned British historian Paul Johnson, I urge you to do so.  He offers needed correctives to the American history we all learned, at least the part of "all" who went to public schools.  His re-evaluations of Warren G. Harding, Calvin Coolidge, and Herbert Hoover should be more widely known.)
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Odysseus I -- Letters to a Recalcitrant Conservative

Achilles,

A short time ago you told me that you are determined to sulk in your tent rather than vote for a candidate with whom you disagree on a fair number of issues.

A Brief History of Barnburning 1848-1856

In 1848, the New York anti-slavery Democrats (so called as a derisive reference to the fabled man who burned down his barn in order to rid it of rats), unsatisfied with their choice of a Northern pro-slavery Democrat (Lewis Cass) and a slave-owning Whig (Zachary Taylor), made an alliance with a somewhat smaller group of “Conscience Whigs” and the remnants of the old Liberty Party to create the Free-Soil Party. Backing the candidacy of Martin Van Buren (a seemingly odd choice, as he had been a decidedly pro-slavery President during his single term), the party won nothing more than 2 Senate seats and 14 in the House, but it is widely credited with preventing the election of Cass, who narrowly lost New York to Taylor, with the Barnburner vote proving a decisive subtraction from Cass’s total. In other words, by their efforts they had managed to hand the Presidency to a slave-holder.

Curiously, their luck in this was better than they could have expected -- at least temporarily. President Taylor, to the surprise of most, proved to be adamantly opposed to the expansion of slavery into the territories. However, President Taylor died during the debates leading up to the Compromise of 1850, and was succeeded by Millard Fillmore, who was a Whig, though decidedly not of the “Conscience” variety. The Compromise, with its draconian Fugitive Slave Act, followed soon after.

The party remained independent until absorbed by the Republican Party in the great political re-alignments of 1854-1856.

The Moral of the Story -- Don’t count on luck and the future to mend your errors. We are still responsible for the foreseeable consequences of our actions, and “dumb luck”, after all, can only follow a dumb move. Splitting a party to attain your ends in some future here-and-now is never a sure thing.

The Cult of Personality -- 1912

Theodore Roosevelt decided in 1912 that he had been too hasty in relinquishing the Presidency in 1908. He was dissatisfied with the performance of his hand-picked successor, William Howard Taft, and probably with private life as well. An organization called the National Republican Progressive League, founded out of disenchantment with Taft by Robert LaFollette, endorsed Roosevelt for the Republican nomination before the 1912 Republican convention. The effort proved fruitless, as the convention named the incumbent Taft as their nominee for re-election.

However, TR was never one to accept defeat gracefully. Instead of accepting the choice of the convention, he chose to combine with the National Republican Progressive League to form the Progressive Party, popularly known as the “Bull Moose” Party. In the resulting three-cornered contest, the Republican vote predictably split between Taft and Roosevelt, allowing Democrat Woodrow Wilson to ride to victory in November, with an agenda that neither Taft or Roosevelt would have approved. Of course, since the Progressives had no influence with Wilson (naturally, since they had opposed him), they had no influence on his policies.

The irony, of course, is that by attempting to influence the choice of president by endorsing a charismatic third-party outsider, they had unwittingly forfeited their chance to influence Presidential policy for the next four years or more. (As it turned out, it was more.) The truth is that the Taft supporters and the Roosevelt supporters weren’t all that far apart. It was largely TR’s ego that kept the rift from being mended, in my view.

The moral of the story -- Never follow a dynamic personality on a doomed quest. Going over a cliff is always foolish, no matter who you’re following.

The Rift Completed -- 1860

In 1860 the Democratic Party was badly split between the supporters of Sen. Steven Douglas’s doctrine of “Popular Sovereignty”, which held that the inhabitants of a territory themselves had the power to regulate slavery within their borders, and the followers of the extreme Southern policy of (among others) Senator Jefferson Davis, who held that until the process of adopting a state constitution and applying for admittance to the Union, no territorial authority had the power to inhibit the right of slave owners to bring their slaves (and thus, slavery) into the territory. By the time the delegates assembled in Charleston, SC (a singularly unfortunate place to hold that convention), much of the hostility of the deep South toward their Northern brethren had hardened into a cold, uncompromising hatred of Sen. Douglas himself. Although Douglas had a majority of the delegates’ votes for the nomination, the minority was able through various maneuvers to prevent the Illinois Senator from gaining the nomination. In the end, the Southern delegates, in an eerie foreshadowing of their actions a few months later, seceded from the convention (and from its successor, held in Baltimore), and nominated John C. Breckinridge of Kentucky for President. In the four-cornered contest that ensued, Abraham Lincoln was elected President, a result that the secession of the Southern delegates from the Charleston Convention had ensured.

Southern “fire-eaters” used this result to justify the secession of the Southern slave states from the Union, which in turn led to the bloodiest war in American history, and also to the destruction of the “peculiar institution” itself, which the Southerners had set out to save and to spread.

Moral of the Story: Never let your dislike of a politician blind you to your own (and your country’s) best interests.

The Rift Mended -- 1864

It may seem odd to us now, but the re-election of Abraham Lincoln didn’t look at all likely in the summer of 1864. The war had dragged on for three years, Grant’s Virginia campaign had resulted in casualty lists the likes of which the North had never had to endure before, Sherman had been unable to force a finish-fight with cagey General Joseph Johnston or to capture Atlanta, and the Northern people were beginning to wonder whether the war could ever conceivably be worth the cost. In Lincoln’s own party, some of the Radical Republicans were suspecting that the reason that the war had yet to be won was that Lincoln hadn’t been tough enough . Incredibly, some of them even suspected Lincoln or plotting to save slavery. When they were unable to prevent the re-nomination of Lincoln at the Republican Convention, the dissident faction formed what they called the Radical Republican Party, and nominated Gen. John C. Fremont, the Republican Party’s first presidential nominee in 1856.

While never a large slice of Republicanism, Lincoln and other mainstream Republicans realized that the split in the ranks could be fatal in November. Various negotiations ensued, and the radicals, who were no more eager to elect Gen. McClellan, the Democratic candidate, than Lincoln himself was, returned to the fold. It is suspected that the price of the radicals’ return was the resignation of Postmaster General Montgomery Blair, and given Blair’s trouble-making while in the cabinet, one gathers that Lincoln let him go with very little heart-burning. Fremont and Blair both stumped for the Lincoln/Johnson ticket, and they went on to a decisive victory. The war turned out to be just as hard as anyone could possibly wish, and slavery was destroyed by the war, just as the radicals desired. By backing Lincoln, the radicals had guaranteed that they would continue to have influence on the course of events. Gratitude is not always reliable in politics, but is not to be easily disregarded, either.

Moral of the Story -- Better to help elect a candidate you can influence, than fail to oppose a candidate of views opposite to yours who will have no reason to influence you once they are in office.

 

 

You may be wondering what all of this has to do with you and the present election (although I’d like to think you got most if not all of this on your own). In my next letter, I shall try to show you the relevance of all of this to the doctrine of responsibility, Abraham Lincoln and Charles Sumner, William Wilberforce, and incrementalism as a weapon.

Yours,

Odysseus

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The History Book Club and "O'Sullivan's Law"

I noticed something odd happening at the History Book Club, of which I am a member.  Lately I've noticed that they are offering books which examine modern Conservatism in a, shall we say, very critical light.  Last month they even offered a book authored (perhaps) by Arianna Huffington, whose head I believe whistles on windy days.  Having noticed this pattern continuing, I checked the website.  In the Current Events category, I found 8-10 liberal books, and only two conservative titles (Mexifornia, by Victor Davis Hanson, and No Retreat, No Surrender, by Tom DeLay).  They already have a book praising the "audacious" Senator Barack Obama, but do not have David Freddoso's more critical study of the hyper-liberal "Chicago pol".  Interestingly, I was unable to find any way for members to send comments or suggestions on the selections offered by the editors.
 
I think I'll order the DeLay book just to annoy them.  I am obligated to buy one more book anyway.  By the way, when is Tom DeLay's trial going to start in Texas?  I say "never".  All Steve Earle's phony charges were designed to accomplish has already occurred -- the exit of conspicuously effective conservative leader DeLay from the House of Representatives.  Justice had nothing -- NOTHING -- to do with it.  Anyone who has followed the power-abusing career of the corrupt Earle has not been surprised by the course of these events.
 
This is, of course, another example of "O'Sullivan's Law".  Coined by John O'Sullivan, former editor at National Review, the law states that "All organizations not expressly right-wing become left-wing over time."  This is one of the fronts of the culture war that we on the right have neglected, and it continues to cost us in small ways, and in large as well.
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Anthony Kennedy and the Jawbone...

Thousands of words have already been written about the insane majority opinion authored by Associate Justice Anthony "Weathercock" Kennedy in the Boumedienne case, which granted constitutional rights to terrorists who clearly are not entitled to them.  Many of these opinions have been written by writers more learned than I, although anyone familiar with college faculties will know that to some minds, education only gives the ability to be stupid in big words.  I'll content myself with a cheap shot (the Weathercock deserves no better):
 
I wonder if Kennedy dictated or read his opinion aloud.  If he did, then that would make this the most damage rendered with the jawbone of an _ss since Samson was around.
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Chuck Schumer, Mafioso?

I had a nasty thought about Chuck Schumer, senior Senator from New York.  I would remind you that Don Chuckie, who is to government what the Mafia is to commerce, is also the head of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (or whatever it's called).  I hope his destruction of Indymac Bank wasn't a demonstration of power a la Hiroshima.  I picture him making fundraising calls from his office, telling businessmen that "What happened to Indymac can happen to you to.  How much can I put you down for?"
 
I hope someone's monitoring corporate donations (over and under the table) to the Democrats this year...
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Rich Stupid People

I have a suggestion for a thesis by some bright college student.  Someone should write his or her thesis on how much damage is done in America by rich stupid people.  I'm not (just) referring to dumb celebrities (think Barbra Steisand) or rich, dumb politicians (Michael Bloomberg is one of these).  I'm thinking of someone like T. Boone Pickens, who is self-financing (I think) a media blitz of his idiot ideas about power generation in the near future. He is suggesting that wind and solar power can generate the power we need in the future.  This is not only stupid, it is dangerous stupidity, and it plays into the hands of the enemies of America.  Wind and solar power are decades away from feasability (sp?), if they ever reach it at all.  At best they may someday provide 10% of our energy needs.  (I'll bet they never reach even that level.)  OPEC has to love the sight of Pea Brain Pickens saying over and over on TV and radio that this is a problem "we can't drill our way out of".  Yes, we most assuredly can drill our way out of it.  We wouldn't even be in it if bonehead Bill Clinton hadn't vetoed drilling in a dim, dark, desolate corner of ANWR 13 YEARS ago!  While the Democrats desperately seek to avoid blame for the mess they've created and the exploding gas prices their scientific-ignoramus policies have brought us, fools like "Windy" Pickens help them with multi-million dollar campaigns of lies and/or foolish ideas across the struggling nation.
 
It all reminds me of that other rich bonehead, Warren Buffett, who often bobs up to tell us that we should raise the marginal tax rates on the rich.  Easy for you to say, Warren -- you already have your millions.  As economist Thomas Sowell has pointed out time and again, high marginal tax rates on earnings are paid by the rich; they are paid by those attemping to become rich.  The real-life effect is to stifle the efforts of exactly those talented individuals whose talent and drive produces the progress of our economy (I'm sure I could phrase this better, but I'm running out of lunch time).  Bad, bad idea.
 
By the way, I've heard that Warren "Raise my Taxes" Buffett has lately been devoting his time and talent to finding loopholes in the law to enable him to avoid those higher marginal tax rates he is championing.  Another rich liberal hypocrit.  How stunning.
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Tony Snow, RIP

American political life lost something rare and precious over the weekend.  Former writer, radio host, and White House Press Secretary Tony Snow passed away at the far too young age of 53.  Tony was that rarest of Washington political specimens -- the man without rancor.  Tony Snow hated no one; resented no one; despised no one.  He was one of the few people whose smile was perfectly genuine, and almost always visible.  I never had the good fortune to meet the man himself, so all I can share are a few memories.
 
I first heard Tony Snow when he was a substitute host for Rush Limbaugh many years ago.  I thought he was great -- smart, well-informed (not always the same thing), quick-witted, and unfailingly courteous to all callers and guests.  He set a standard for Rush's guest hosts that has been rarely met since then.  Rush himself occasionally falls short of the courtesy standard that Tony set.  Hearing that Tony would be subbing for Rush was the best consolation prize that Rush's listeners could hope for.
 
Tony was the first host of Fox News Sunday, and he was equally successful there, and for the same reasons.  He was a superior interviewer, and routinely asked more intelligent questions in one interview than Leslie Stahl has asked in her entire career.  He also led the panel discussions very well, keeping all participants in every discussion as a good host or hostess will.
 
For many of us, Tony's Parting Thoughts at the end of the broadcast were the best part of the show (and far superior to the lame "Power Player of the Week" segment that Chris Wallace does now).  Tony often shared a bit of his personal life in these segments, and I remember two of them vividly.  One of them was delivered after his last child was born.  You could see the joy on his face and hear it in his voice.  I can still hear him saying "Any man who doesn't want to be a father is nuts!"  I myself will never be a father (which may be just as well), so this endures as a very poignant memory for me.
 
By far the most vivid memory of Tony for me, however, was the first Sunday broadcast after the 9/11 attacks.  I was working on my home computer and listening to the Parting Thoughts segment, when I suddenly stopped working and focussed on the TV screen -- for I could hear that Tony was in difficulties.  He was speaking of the death of a New York City Fire Department Chaplain, who was killed when he refused to leave the side of an injured firefighter.  About the point at which Tony said "...the hand of death closed around him, too" (or so I remember it"), his voice suddenly rose in his throat and he suddenly had to fight back tears.  (I know the feeling.  This opften happens to me when I talk about my late brother John.)  A true professional in the best sense, Tony gathered himself and finished his segment.  In that moment, though, we saw past the television personality and into the heart of a good, loving man. 
 
Ignore the snarky jibes of his critics, none of whom are likely to stand as tall on Judgement Day as Tony will.  Ignore the hatred expressed by the nutroots of the left.  Remember Tony Snow the man as he should be remembered -- as a man of courage and integrity.  A man who loved his family, his friends, and his country.
 
Rest in peace, Tony.  We won't forget you.
 
 
Tags: tony snow  
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